Hooligan: Why We Start At 0.01 Bitcoin

Everything MANTIS does is aimed at one finish line: one whole Bitcoin. And the main road to it starts with 0.21 of a coin.

That’s not the goal. That’s the starting stake. And for a lot of people, that first step is the whole problem. If you haven’t got a fifth of a coin sitting around, a strategy that starts there isn’t a strategy. It’s a brochure.

So we built a rung underneath it. It starts at one hundredth of a Bitcoin, and it’s called Hooligan.

A ladder, scored in Bitcoin

Everything in MANTIS is scored in Bitcoin, not dollars. If a trade makes money in dollars but you’d have had more coin by simply holding, you didn’t win.

The ladder has two rungs. The top one, 0.21 → 1, is the grown-up journey. The bottom one is Hooligan: 0.01 → 0.21. That’s twenty-one times, measured in Bitcoin, and you don’t get that from anything slow.

What Hooligan actually does

The hundredth of a Bitcoin is split three ways: a third each into FET, INJ and RENDER.

Each gets one entry. One shot: the coin’s next weekly cycle low, or a Bitcoin puke below $54,043, whichever comes first. Then it’s held for the run, sold into dollars, and the dollars go back into Bitcoin by a rule written down before any of it happens.

XRP and BNB aren’t plays. They’re where the winnings rotate to once the three plays have run, late in the cycle. That rotation isn’t built yet. It’s the plan, not a result.

Why these three

One rule: no record, no place. Each ran hard out of the 2022 bear-market low and has a full history of cycles to test a rule against.

And they don’t all want the same rule. FET is the explosive one: buy the low and hold. INJ and RENDER reward taking the swings. Trade the steady ones, hold the explosive ones.

Does it have a chance?

This is a backtest: these rules, run over the last cycle from the 2022 low.

The three plays took that hundredth of a Bitcoin, about $158 at the 2022 low, and sold out near the top into about $5,200 in cash. That cash hasn’t gone back into Bitcoin yet. The conversion rule hasn’t fired.

Add one deliberately conservative double from the planned rotation, and it’s about $10,400. Converted at the puke price, that’s about 0.19 of a Bitcoin. Within touching distance of 0.21.

Four honest caveats:

The rotation isn’t built yet. That double is the plan.
The higher Bitcoin is when the cash goes back in, the fewer coins it buys.
FET’s run alone was about forty-two times, and that skews it. Even if FET had done nothing at all, it’s still more than halfway.
One cycle, three coins. A small sample. A guide, not a promise.

Why it’s called Hooligan

These coins don’t climb. They brawl. FET, bought at the 2022 low and simply held, fell ninety-six percent from its high at its worst.

The stake is small. The ride is not. That’s why it’s a hundredth of a Bitcoin and not your savings: the most you can lose is the stake, and you know it on day one.

On the record, before any of it fires

The entry windows open on 9 November (RENDER), 23 November (FET) and 4 January (INJ). Each entry is logged the same day it happens, with the date and the price.

Where things stand today: all three plays are still waiting for their entry. Nothing’s in yet. RENDER’s window is the first, and it’s under four weeks away.

▶ Watch the full video: youtube.com/watch?v=ft-tSR-yH4w

Important Disclaimer This post and the video it accompanies are for educational and informational purposes only. Nothing here is financial advice, an investment recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any asset. MANTIS is a cycle analysis tool, not a signal service. The Hooligan figures are a backtest: historical rules run over a past cycle, with a planned rotation that is not yet built. They are not a forecast or a promise of any return. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and you can lose your whole stake. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and only ever risk what you can afford to lose.

A hundredth of a Bitcoin. Three coins with a record. One shot each.

Build in the bear. Sell in the bull.